Results From Bicycle Speed Observations on Trafalgar Road Path

This cyclist travelling at over 33 km/h into a sharp left & right curve could not see more than 20 metres ahead of him due to the design of the multi-use path.

On June 2, 2020 Gorski Consulting conducted multiple-video camera documentations of northbound cyclists travelling along the City of London multi-use path approaching the underpass at Trafalgar Road. Video analysis has now been completed and the results have been summarized in an article entitled “Speed of Recreational Cyclists on Down-slope of Trafalgar Bike Path” which can be accessed  via the link below:

http://www.gorskiconsulting.com/newsarticles/Speed of Recreational Cyclists on Down-slope of Trafalgar Bike Path in London Ontario.pdf

 

Observations From Mother & 3-Child Fatal Collision in Brampton

The following are some preliminary observations from the tragic death of a family at the intersection of Countryside Drive and Torbram Road in Brampton yesterday afternoon. It was reported that an eastbound Infiniti, being driven by a 20-year-old male, on Countryside Drive, collided with a Volkswagen Atlas SUV that was travelling north on Torbram Road. A 37-year-old female driver of the Honda was killed as well as her three children. The driver of the Infiniti reportedly sustained critical injuries.

The focus of the news media attention has been on reports that, just before the collision, a Peel Regional Police officer was westbound on Countryside Drive and observed the Infiniti. As police chases are a lightning rod for public debate the focus has been on whether these collision events were related to a police chase. Ontario’s Special Investigations Unit (SIU) has taken over the investigation with respect to the police involvement in the incident. The focus has also been on the driving record of the Infiniti driver and the probable likelihood that it was he who entered the intersection on a red signal. These matters are relevant but they are not the only issues.

As has been observed over numerous tragic incidents, the public’s attention is easily drawn away from important matters that never become revealed. In the present circumstance, while the police involvement may be an important and separate issue, similarly the Infiniti driver’s actions, absolutely no attention has been focused on the fact that all four occupants of the VW SUV perished and whether this outcome was acceptable and inevitable. Investigators who are experienced in the assessment of injury in motor vehicle collisions understand that it is rare to encounter a situation where multiple fatalities occur in a single vehicle and particularly more rare that all four occupants would die in one vehicle. Such circumstances can occur when a vehicle catches fire or enters a body of water where there is no opportunity to escape the vehicle interior, but not from the force of impact.

In most instances vehicle occupants die because they are exposed to very large collision forces that are applied over a very short time. Such forces do not exist equally in all parts of a vehicle such that different occupants sustain different collision forces, partly because of where they are seated with respect to the application of the impact force on the vehicle. Thus in a side impact, such as the one experienced by the VW SUV, the occupants on the opposite (right) side of the SUV would experience substantially less risk of death than those on the left where there is the crush and possible intrusion into the occupant space. Looking at the photos of the crush on the VW SUV it is obvious that the Infiniti made contact in the soft zone between the left-front and left-rear wheels. Photos do not provide a good opportunity to know the depth of the penetration into the side but it does appear to be substantial. Alternatively, because of the low front end of the Infiniti and the higher-than-average height of the SUV, much of the crush is at a low level and below the critical pelvic-chest regions of typical seated passengers. So that substantial crush is not as dangerous than if the VW SUV was struck by a vehicle with a higher front end, like a pick-up truck for example.

Next, we can consider the crush on the front end of the Infiniti. Again, there is significant crush but it is not massive. And this is expected given that the front end of the Infiniti would be stiffer than the side of the VW SUV. Thus the driver of the Infiniti benefited from striking the soft side structure of the VW SUV and, by all rights, should have suffered only minor to moderate injuries in a scenario of proper seat-belt use and air bag deployment. The fact that he reportedly sustained critical injuries is unusual except that there appear to be dark regions on the Infiniti’s hood and windshield possibly indicating the ignition of a fire. This fact has simply gone over the heads of the news media.

Before the existence of event data recorders collision reconstructionists had to use evidence such as post-impact travel distances, angles of departure, crush measurements and other details to sort out vehicle speeds and collision severity. While in theory police and others must continue to consider such evidence, the practical reality is that reconstructionists immediately rush to the “Black Box” to download the collision data. Thus the knowledge and artistry of understanding physical evidence becomes placed further and further into the background.

What can be said about the deaths in this tragic incident is that they are suspicious, particularly for the child deaths. As mentioned, the crush on the side of the VW SUV is substantial but its maximum is at a low level and the relevant crush at the occupant level is not as dire. When we add the fact that the children should have been in child seats or perhaps on a booster cushion, such arrangements should greatly improve a child’s ability to survive very extreme collision forces. The crush on the side of the VW SUV is not consistent with the fatal consequences experienced by all four occupants of the vehicle. Clearly some of these occupants should have survived.

While there was a concrete lamp standard that fell diagonally across the right front corner of the vehicle such a result appears to be deadly to the inexperienced eye. Yet, in reality, the roof zone of light vehicles is extremely soft and easily crushed. Thus the crush caused by the pole would only be relevant to an occupant seated in the right front seat, if indeed there was an occupant seated there even, due to the age of the children, there should not have been a child seated in that seat. While there are no good views showing the amount of crush caused to the VW SUV by the pole impact it would also not be expected to be a major factor in causing the deaths to the children.

In totality, this is truly a tragic incident, much as was expressed by the Mayor of the City of Brampton and the Premier of Ontario. But it is a greater tragedy when the public does not understand what caused it. Not from the standpoint of who entered the intersection on a red signal, but because there is no interest in understanding why the four occupants perished and that, even at very high impact speeds, modern vehicles are capable of preventing death, and should have prevented at least some of the deaths in this tragedy. But this is a hot flame that no one has the courage to touch.

Additional Cyclist Speed Documentations on Trafalgar Bike Trail In London

View of a northbound cyclist travelling on the City of London cycling trail near Trafalgar Road in May 2020.

The speed of cyclists on downgrades was previously reported in a Gorski Consulting article of October 8, 2018. That article examined three sites where substantial downgrades existed and it was demonstrated that cyclists generally coasted to high speeds. One of those sites, located south of Trafalgar Road, was particularly interesting because of its new construction and the challenging  conditions that were created for cyclists and pedestrians.

On June 2, 2020 Gorski Consulting returned to Trafalgar site and conducted additional observations to explore the extent of the possible safety problems that might exist. Multiple video cameras were used to capture the speed of northbound cyclists on the trail as well as to explore any conflicts with pedestrians who also use the trail. The video will be analysed in the next week or two and an article is expected to be posted to the Gorski Consulting website with the results of the testing.

One Bad Decision By One Driver Can Lead To Death of Many Innocent Others

We have seen the scenario depicted above on numerous occasions. A slow-moving heavy truck and an impatient driver. The consequences of an error in this scenario could be higher when the truck is a tanker loaded with explosive cargo.

As shown below the pick-up driver has already entered into the no passing zone and the passing motion is not completed. What led to this result?

Miscalculation, misinterpretation, criminal negligence or a combination of all? Which is it? And how can it be prevented?

One of the solutions is to focus our attention on risky drivers rather than the population at large. Whether it be stunt driving at tremendous speed, high acceleration at inappropriate times and locations, or simply driving unpredictably, high risk drivers need to be identified and their actions monitored in a more focused manner than is currently taking place.

Nine Motorcyclists Killed in 18 Days of May

Motorcyclists continue to ride in freedom but also with danger.

Averaging at least one motorcyclist fatality every two days is not a good record. But that is the strange Ontario reality during the Covid-19 Pandemic in this month of May. The following list represents some of those killed although it may be not complete.

  1. On May 1st the OPP reported that a pick-up truck collided with two motorcycles on Wellington Road 19 at the Sixth Line. One of the motorcyclists was killed.
  2. On May 3rd a 30-year-old female motorcyclist was killed at the intersection of Dingman Drive and Highbury Ave in south London. Apparently there was no other vehicle involved the collision.
  3. On May 4th, a 22-year-old male was killed when his motorcycle collided with a vehicle near Jalna Boulevard and Poplar Crescent in London.
  4. On May 12th, a motorcyclist died in a single vehicle collision on Tapscott Road and Melford Drive in Scarborough.
  5. On May 13th a motorcycle collided with an SUV at the intersection of Huron County Road 12nd Hydro Line Road near Seaforth. The motorcyclist died at the collision scene.
  6. On May 16th, a motorcycle collided with a car at the intersection of Creditview Road and Sandalwood Parkway in Brampton. The motorcyclist died at the scene.
  7. On May 16th a 60-year-old male motorcyclist was killed when he collided with an SUV on Sunset Drive near Wilson Ave in St Thomas.
  8. On May 17th  a motorcyclist died when he was reportedly making a turn on Northey’s Bay Road in North Kawartha near Peterborough. No other vehicles were involved in the crash.
  9. On May 17th a motorcyclist was killed in a single vehicle collision on Perth Line 87 near Listowel.

Ontario statistics indicate that there were 67 motorcyclists killed in 2017 and 57 in 2018 but those numbers are based on “preliminary” data while the final numbers have still not been released.

According the the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in the U.S. 5229 motorcyclists were killed in 2017 and 4985 in 2018. This change represented a 4.7% drop in fatalities. Early estimates for 2019 indicate that there was a 1% drop in fatalities in comparison to 2018.

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